NC-04 House Election Margin of Victory
This market resolves to the margin of victory for the winning party in the North Carolina 4th congressional district House election.
PolymarketEnds Nov 3, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democrat 45-50% | 35% | — | 64¢ | |
| Democrat 35-40% | 34% | — | 59¢ | |
| Democrat 20-30% | 33% | — | 62¢ | |
| Democrat 40-45% | 14% | — | 16¢ | |
| Democrat 0-20% | 13% | — | 16¢ | |
| Democrat 50-55% | 13% | — | 16¢ | |
| Republican Wins | 12% | — | 24.3¢ | |
| Democrat 30-35% | 8% | — | 15¢ | |
| Democrat 55-60% | 8% | — | 14¢ | |
| Democrat 60%+ | 3% | — | 6.3¢ |
Democrat 45-50%
35%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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