NJ-04 House Election Margin of Victory
This market resolves based on the margin of victory for the winning party in the NJ-04 House election.
Polymarket$20 traded 24hEnds Nov 3, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican 35-40% | 32% | — | 53¢ | |
| Republican 30-35% | 25% | — | 46¢ | |
| Republican 20-25% | 21% | — | 40¢ | |
| Republican 40%+ | 21% | — | 40¢ | |
| Republican 25-30% | 17% | — | 21¢ | |
| Republican 10-15% | 14% | — | 15¢ | |
| Republican 15-20% | 12% | — | 16¢ | |
| Republican 0-10% | 10% | — | 13¢ | |
| Democrat Wins | 7% | — | 11.4¢ |
Republican 35-40%
32%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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