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NY-23 House Election Margin of Victory

The market resolves based on the margin of victory for the winning party in New York's 23rd congressional district election.

PolymarketPolymarket$2 traded 24hEnds Nov 3, 2026

Outcomes

Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted

OutcomeChance24hPolymarketPolymarket
Republican 10-15%27%51¢
Republican 20-25%20%20¢
Republican 15-20%18%33¢
Republican 25-30%17%28¢
Republican 30-35%14%27¢
Republican 35%+14%14¢
Republican 0-5%7%10¢
Republican 5-10%<1%0.6¢
Democrat Wins<1%0.4¢

Republican 10-15%

27%

Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks

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