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NY-21 House Election Margin of Victory

The market resolves based on the margin of victory for the democratic or republican candidate in the NY-21 House election.

PolymarketPolymarket$107 traded 24hEnds Nov 3, 2026

Outcomes

Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted

OutcomeChance24hPolymarketPolymarket
Democrat 0-3%25%39¢
Republican 6-9%21%23¢
Republican 9-12%13%14.9¢
Republican 0-3%12%13¢
Republican 3-6%10%17¢
Republican 21%+9%
Republican 12-15%9%10¢
Democrat 3%+8%11¢
Republican 15-18%5%5.8¢
Republican 18-21%5%

Democrat 0-3%

25%

Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks

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