NY-18 House Election Margin of Victory
The market resolves based on the margin of victory for the Democratic candidate in New York's 18th congressional district election.
PolymarketEnds Nov 3, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democrat 20-25% | 20% | — | 22¢ | |
| Democrat 25-30% | 16% | — | 17¢ | |
| Democrat 15-20% | 15% | — | 19¢ | |
| Democrat 10-15% | 12% | — | 12¢ | |
| Democrat 35%+ | 7% | — | 9¢ | |
| Democrat 30-35% | 6% | — | 8¢ | |
| Republican Wins | 6% | — | 7¢ | |
| Democrat 5-10% | 5% | — | 8.9¢ | |
| Democrat 0-5% | 4% | — | 5.4¢ |
Democrat 20-25%
20%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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