NY-15 House Election Margin of Victory
This market resolves based on the Democratic party's margin of victory in the New York's 15th congressional district House election.
PolymarketEnds Nov 3, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democrat 35-45% | 21% | — | 36¢ | |
| Democrat 70-75% | 21% | — | 35¢ | |
| Democrat 45-50% | 21% | — | 38¢ | |
| Democrat 75%+ | 20% | — | 36¢ | |
| Democrat 50-55% | 17% | — | 33.7¢ | |
| Democrat 55-60% | 17% | — | 20¢ | |
| Democrat 65-70% | 17% | — | 32¢ | |
| Democrat 60-65% | 16% | — | 29¢ | |
| Democrat 0-35% | 14% | — | 26¢ | |
| Republican Wins | 1% | — | 1.8¢ |
Democrat 35-45%
21%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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