NY-12 House Election Margin of Victory
This market resolves based on the margin of victory for the Democratic Party in the NY-12 House election.
PolymarketEnds Nov 3, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democrat 65-70% | 17% | — | 18¢ | |
| Democrat 70-75% | 17% | — | 17¢ | |
| Democrat 85%+ | 16% | — | 17¢ | |
| Democrat 55-60% | 13% | — | 14¢ | |
| Democrat 60-65% | 12% | — | 23.3¢ | |
| Democrat 45-55% | 11% | — | 14¢ | |
| Democrat 80-85% | 10% | — | 14.5¢ | |
| Democrat 75-80% | 9% | — | 12.9¢ | |
| Democrat 0-45% | 4% | — | 4.7¢ | |
| Republican Wins | 1% | — | 1.3¢ |
Democrat 65-70%
17%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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