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NV-04 House Election Margin of Victory

The margin of victory for a party in the NV-04 House election determines the outcome.

PolymarketPolymarket$78 traded 24hEnds Nov 3, 2026

Outcomes

Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted

OutcomeChance24hPolymarketPolymarket
Democrat 10-15%39%39¢
Democrat 15-20%23%28¢
Democrat 5-10%19%33¢
Democrat 0-5%11%12¢
Democrat 20-25%9%15¢
Democrat 25%+5%9.3¢
Republican 5%+3%4.4¢
Republican 0-5%2%3.8¢

Democrat 10-15%

39%

Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks

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