NM-03 House Election Margin of Victory
The market resolves based on the Democratic Party's margin of victory in the New Mexico 3rd congressional district election.
Polymarket$17 traded 24hEnds Nov 3, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democrat 30-35% | 17% | — | 17¢ | |
| Democrat 25-30% | 14% | — | 22¢ | |
| Democrat 10-15% | 14% | — | 16¢ | |
| Democrat 35%+ | 13% | — | 15¢ | |
| Democrat 15-20% | 13% | — | 15¢ | |
| Democrat 5-10% | 9% | — | 13¢ | |
| Democrat 0-5% | 9% | — | 11¢ | |
| Republican Wins | 9% | — | 12¢ | |
| Democrat 20-25% | 4% | — | 6.6¢ |
Democrat 30-35%
17%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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