NM-02 House Election Margin of Victory
The market resolves based on the margin of victory for either the Democratic or Republican party in New Mexico's 2nd congressional district House election.
Polymarket$334 traded 24hEnds Nov 3, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democrat 10-15% | 24% | — | 25¢ | |
| Democrat 15-20% | 21% | — | 22¢ | |
| Democrat 0-5% | 14% | — | 26¢ | |
| Democrat 20-25% | 10% | — | 13¢ | |
| Democrat 25%+ | 7% | — | 8¢ | |
| Democrat 5-10% | 6% | — | 9¢ | |
| Republican 5%+ | 2% | — | 3.8¢ | |
| Republican 0-5% | 1% | — | 1¢ |
Democrat 10-15%
24%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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