NM-01 House Election Margin of Victory
The market resolves based on the margin of victory for the Democratic candidate in New Mexico's 1st congressional district election.
Polymarket$12 traded 24hEnds Nov 3, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democrat 20-25% | 30% | — | 31¢ | |
| Democrat 25-30% | 26% | — | 28¢ | |
| Democrat 15-20% | 11% | — | 13¢ | |
| Democrat 10-15% | 10% | — | 12¢ | |
| Democrat 30-35% | 9% | — | 10¢ | |
| Democrat 0-10% | 7% | — | 9¢ | |
| Democrat 35-40% | 6% | — | 7¢ | |
| Democrat 40%+ | 3% | — | 5.5¢ | |
| Republican Wins | 2% | — | 2.7¢ |
Democrat 20-25%
30%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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