OK-04 House Election Margin of Victory
The market resolves based on the margin of victory for the winning party in the OK-04 US House election.
PolymarketEnds Nov 3, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican 30-35% | 27% | — | 29¢ | |
| Republican 25-30% | 27% | — | 28¢ | |
| Republican 35-40% | 16% | — | 19¢ | |
| Republican 20-25% | 9% | — | 11¢ | |
| Republican 40-45% | 8% | — | 10¢ | |
| Democrat Wins | 4% | — | 6.7¢ | |
| Republican 0-5% | 4% | — | 7¢ | |
| Republican 5-15% | 2% | — | 4¢ | |
| Republican 15-20% | 2% | — | 2¢ | |
| Republican 45%+ | <1% | — | 0.4¢ |
Republican 30-35%
27%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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