OR-01 House Election Margin of Victory
The margin of victory for the winning party in the OR-01 US House election will be the outcome.
PolymarketEnds Nov 3, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democrat 50-55% | 28% | — | 29¢ | |
| Democrat 45-50% | 27% | — | 29¢ | |
| Democrat 40-45% | 22% | — | 25.8¢ | |
| Democrat 30-35% | 11% | — | 12.9¢ | |
| Democrat 55-60% | 10% | — | 12.8¢ | |
| Democrat 35-40% | 6% | — | 10.3¢ | |
| Republican Wins | 5% | — | 9.7¢ | |
| Democrat 0-20% | 5% | — | 7.9¢ | |
| Democrat 20-30% | 4% | — | 6.8¢ | |
| Democrat 60%+ | 4% | — | 6.7¢ |
Democrat 50-55%
28%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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