OR-04 House Election Margin of Victory
The market resolves based on the margin of victory for the Democratic candidate in the OR-04 US House election.
Polymarket$26 traded 24hEnds Nov 3, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democrat 15-20% | 31% | — | 32¢ | |
| Democrat 20-25% | 28% | — | 29¢ | |
| Democrat 10-15% | 17% | — | 20¢ | |
| Republican Wins | 13% | — | 16.5¢ | |
| Democrat 25-30% | 12% | — | 16.4¢ | |
| Democrat 0-5% | 8% | — | 12¢ | |
| Democrat 30-35% | 3% | — | 3¢ | |
| Democrat 5-10% | 2% | — | 3.7¢ | |
| Democrat 35%+ | <1% | — | 0.5¢ |
Democrat 15-20%
31%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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