PA-02 House Election Margin of Victory
The margin of victory for the Democratic candidate in the PA-02 House Election determines the outcome.
Polymarket$32 traded 24hEnds Nov 3, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democrat 50-55% | 31% | — | 35.2¢ | |
| Democrat 55-60% | 24% | — | 28.9¢ | |
| Democrat 60%+ | 16% | — | 18¢ | |
| Democrat 45-50% | 14% | — | 17¢ | |
| Democrat 40-45% | 8% | — | 14¢ | |
| Democrat 35-40% | 4% | — | 5.5¢ | |
| Democrat 30-35% | 3% | — | 4¢ | |
| Democrat 20-30% | 3% | — | 4.8¢ | |
| Democrat 0-20% | 2% | — | 3¢ | |
| Republican Wins | <1% | — | 0.5¢ |
Democrat 50-55%
31%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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