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PA-16 House Election Margin of Victory

The market resolves based on the winning party and their margin of victory in the PA-16 US House election.

PolymarketPolymarketEnds Nov 3, 2026

Outcomes

Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted

OutcomeChance24hPolymarketPolymarket
Republican 20-25%28%28.3¢
Republican 10-15%26%29¢
Republican 15-20%20%22¢
Republican 5-10%16%17¢
Democrat Wins5%5.6¢
Republican 35%+5%8.8¢
Republican 25-30%5%8.2¢
Republican 30-35%4%7.8¢
Republican 0-5%4%6.8¢

Republican 20-25%

28%

Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks

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