PA-15 House Election Margin of Victory
The margin of victory for the winning party in the PA-15 US House election will be the outcome.
PolymarketEnds Nov 3, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican 35-40% | 32% | — | 32¢ | |
| Republican 30-35% | 30% | — | 31¢ | |
| Republican 25-30% | 19% | — | 19¢ | |
| Republican 40-45% | 14% | — | 18.7¢ | |
| Republican 20-25% | 5% | — | 8.9¢ | |
| Republican 45-50% | 5% | — | 5.5¢ | |
| Republican 50%+ | 1% | — | 0.8¢ | |
| Republican 0-10% | <1% | — | 0.6¢ | |
| Democrat Wins | <1% | — | 0.5¢ | |
| Republican 10-20% | <1% | — | 0.4¢ |
Republican 35-40%
32%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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