PA-12 House Election Margin of Victory
The market resolves based on the Democratic party's margin of victory in the PA-12 US House election.
Polymarket$6 traded 24hEnds Nov 3, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democrat 20-25% | 34% | — | 34¢ | |
| Democrat 25-30% | 28% | — | 29¢ | |
| Democrat 30-35% | 18% | — | 20¢ | |
| Democrat 15-20% | 14% | — | 17¢ | |
| Democrat 10-15% | 13% | — | 16¢ | |
| Democrat 0-10% | 1% | — | 2.6¢ | |
| Democrat 35-40% | 1% | — | 1.1¢ | |
| Democrat 40%+ | <1% | — | 0.3¢ | |
| Republican Wins | <1% | — | 0.2¢ |
Democrat 20-25%
34%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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