RI-01 House Election Margin of Victory
The outcome is determined by the Democratic candidate's margin of victory in the Rhode Island 1st congressional district election.
PolymarketEnds Nov 3, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democrat 35-40% | 24% | — | 26¢ | |
| Democrat 40-45% | 18% | — | 20¢ | |
| Democrat 25-30% | 14% | — | 15¢ | |
| Democrat 30-35% | 14% | — | 17¢ | |
| Democrat 45-50% | 14% | — | 16¢ | |
| Democrat 0-10% | 9% | — | 16.1¢ | |
| Democrat 50%+ | 8% | — | 9¢ | |
| Democrat 20-25% | 5% | — | 6.5¢ | |
| Democrat 10-20% | 4% | — | 6.7¢ | |
| Republican Wins | 1% | — | 0.9¢ |
Democrat 35-40%
24%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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