VA-03 House Election Margin of Victory
This market resolves based on the Democratic party's margin of victory in the VA-03 House election.
PolymarketEnds Nov 3, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democrat 35-40% | 20% | — | 22¢ | |
| Democrat 30-35% | 14% | — | 17¢ | |
| Democrat 55%+ | 13% | — | 13¢ | |
| Democrat 45-50% | 12% | — | 14.1¢ | |
| Democrat 40-45% | 8% | — | 14¢ | |
| Democrat 25-30% | 4% | — | 7.4¢ | |
| Democrat 50-55% | 4% | — | 7¢ | |
| Democrat 15-25% | 3% | — | 2.7¢ | |
| Democrat 0-15% | 1% | — | 1.4¢ | |
| Republican Wins | <1% | — | 0.5¢ |
Democrat 35-40%
20%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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