VA-09 House Election Margin of Victory
The market resolves based on the margin of victory for the winning party in the VA-09 House election.
Polymarket$2 traded 24hEnds Nov 3, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican 15-25% | 19% | — | 20¢ | |
| Republican 0-15% | 16% | — | 29¢ | |
| Republican 50-55% | 14% | — | 27.8¢ | |
| Republican 30-35% | 14% | — | 14¢ | |
| Republican 35-40% | 14% | — | 17¢ | |
| Republican 55%+ | 9% | — | 13.6¢ | |
| Republican 25-30% | 9% | — | 10¢ | |
| Republican 45-50% | 8% | — | 12.9¢ | |
| Democrat Wins | 4% | — | 7.8¢ | |
| Republican 40-45% | <1% | — | 0.3¢ |
Republican 15-25%
19%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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