VA-02 House Election Margin of Victory
The market resolves based on the margin of victory for either party in the VA-02 US House election.
PolymarketEnds Nov 3, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democrat 12-15% | 21% | — | 29¢ | |
| Democrat 18%+ | 16% | — | 30.5¢ | |
| Democrat 0-3% | 14% | — | 16¢ | |
| Democrat 3-6% | 12% | — | 13¢ | |
| Democrat 6-9% | 11% | — | 12¢ | |
| Republican 0-3% | 10% | — | 12.9¢ | |
| Democrat 9-12% | 10% | — | 12¢ | |
| Republican 3-6% | 6% | — | 7.7¢ | |
| Democrat 15-18% | 5% | — | 6¢ | |
| Republican 6%+ | 3% | — | 3.5¢ |
Democrat 12-15%
21%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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