TX-04 House Election Margin of Victory
The market resolves based on the margin of victory for the winning party in the TX-04 House election.
PolymarketEnds Nov 3, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican 15-20% | 33% | — | 36¢ | |
| Republican 20-25% | 26% | — | 27¢ | |
| Republican 25-30% | 14% | — | 14¢ | |
| Republican 35%+ | 14% | — | 26.3¢ | |
| Republican 0-5% | 10% | — | 14¢ | |
| Republican 10-15% | 8% | — | 11¢ | |
| Republican 30-35% | 7% | — | 10.1¢ | |
| Republican 5-10% | 7% | — | 12¢ | |
| Democrat Wins | 1% | — | 1.7¢ |
Republican 15-20%
33%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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