Who will Trump pardon before 2027?
The individual pardoned by Donald Trump before 2027 determines the outcome.
Polymarket$270 traded 24hEnds Dec 31, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Bankman-Fried | 4% | — | 4.1¢ | |
| Steve Bannon | 9% | — | 9.6¢ | |
| Roger Ver | 7% | — | 9¢ | |
| Roger Stone | 26% | — | 26¢ | |
| Edward Snowden | 4% | — | 4.2¢ | |
| Stefan Brodie | 20% | — | 20¢ | |
| Ryan Salame | 16% | — | 18¢ | |
| Keonne Rodriguez | 14% | — | 15¢ | |
| Matt Gaetz | 13% | — | 14¢ | |
| Daniel Penny | 11% | — | 11¢ | |
| Donald Brodie | 10% | — | 11¢ | |
| Eric Adams | 9% | — | 9¢ | |
| Joe Exotic | 9% | — | 9¢ | |
| Young Thug | 7% | — | 6.7¢ | |
| Bob Menendez | 6% | — | 6.1¢ | |
| Derek Chauvin | 6% | — | 5.9¢ | |
| Julian Assange | 6% | — | 6¢ | |
| Martin Shkreli | 5% | — | 5.6¢ | |
| Elizabeth Holmes | 5% | — | 5.2¢ | |
| Ghislaine Maxwell | 5% | — | 4.8¢ | |
| Diddy | 4% | — | 4.9¢ | |
| Nicolas Maduro | 4% | — | 4.3¢ | |
| Andrew Tate | 4% | — | 5¢ | |
| Antoine Massey | 3% | — | 4.9¢ | |
| Himself | 3% | — | 3.7¢ | |
| Do Kwon | 3% | — | 3¢ | |
| Hunter Biden | 3% | — | 4.2¢ | |
| Elon Musk | 2% | — | 3.3¢ |
Sam Bankman-Fried
4%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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