Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Bahia
The candidate who receives the most votes in Bahia in the first round of the Brazil Presidential Election determines the outcome.
PolymarketEnds Oct 4, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lula | 97% | — | 97.8¢ | |
| Flavio Bolsonaro | 2% | — | 3¢ | |
| Clariana Barao | <1% | — | 0.2¢ | |
| Edmilson Costa | <1% | — | 0.2¢ | |
| Escritor Augusto Cury | <1% | — | 0.2¢ | |
| Hertz Dias | <1% | — | 0.2¢ | |
| Pablo Marçal | <1% | — | 0.2¢ | |
| Ronaldo Caiado | <1% | — | 0.2¢ | |
| Rui Costa Pimenta | <1% | — | 0.2¢ | |
| Samara | <1% | — | 0.2¢ | |
| Veterinário Wilson Grassi | <1% | — | 0.2¢ | |
| Zema | <1% | — | 0.2¢ | |
| Renan Santos | <1% | — | 0.1¢ |
Lula
97%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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