Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Sul

The market resolves based on which candidate receives the most votes in Rio Grande do Sul in the first round of the Brazilian presidential election.

Polymarket$68 traded 24hEnds Oct 4, 2026

Outcomes

Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted

Outcome	Chance	24h	Polymarket
Flavio Bolsonaro	89%	—	90¢
Lula	11%	—	11¢
Edmilson Costa	<1%	—	0.4¢
Veterinário Wilson Grassi	<1%	—	0.4¢
Zema	<1%	—	0.4¢
Ronaldo Caiado	<1%	—	0.2¢
Clariana Barao	<1%	—	0.1¢
Escritor Augusto Cury	<1%	—	0.1¢
Hertz Dias	<1%	—	0.1¢
Pablo Marçal	<1%	—	0.1¢
Renan Santos	<1%	—	0.1¢
Rui Costa Pimenta	<1%	—	0.1¢
Samara	<1%	—	0.1¢

89%

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Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks

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