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Which Senate races will be within 1%?

Which US Senate races will have a margin of victory within 1%.

PolymarketPolymarket$16 traded 24hEnds Nov 3, 2026

Outcomes

Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted

OutcomeChance24hPolymarketPolymarket
Michigan23%23¢
Ohio (Special)31%39¢
Iowa25%25¢
Maine19%20¢
Texas19%19¢
Alaska17%17¢
Nebraska15%19¢
New Hampshire14%14¢
Florida (Special)11%12.6¢
Minnesota11%12¢
Georgia10%10¢
North Carolina6%
Colorado4%
Montana3%5.7¢
Virginia2%3.8¢
New Mexico2%

Michigan

23%

Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks

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