Republicans favored to win the Senate on Nate Silver's Bulletin by...?
The date by which Nate Silver's Bulletin favors Republicans to win the Senate determines the outcome.
PolymarketEnds Nov 3, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 31 | 47% | — | 84¢ | |
| September 30 | 39% | — | 71¢ | |
| September 15 | 37% | — | 73.2¢ |
October 31
47%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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