Will Claude go down on __ days in September?

The market resolves based on the number of days Claude experiences downtime in September.

PolymarketEnds Sep 30, 2026

Outcomes

Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted

Outcome	Chance	24h	Polymarket
5-7	52%	—	52¢
8-10	33%	—	33¢
11-13	9%	—	13.6¢
14+	5%	—	9¢
<5	3%	—	2.8¢

52%

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Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks

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