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California Governor Election Margin of Victory

The market resolves based on the margin of victory in the California Governor election.

PolymarketPolymarket$50 traded 24hEnds Nov 3, 2026

Outcomes

Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted

OutcomeChance24hPolymarketPolymarket
Becerra 20-25%22%23¢
Becerra 15-20%19%19¢
Becerra 25-30%18%19¢
Becerra 40%+11%12¢
Becerra 30-35%10%11.9¢
Becerra 10-15%10%13¢
Becerra 35-40%5%6.5¢
Becerra 0-10%3%4.7¢
Hilton Wins<1%0.3¢

Becerra 20-25%

22%

Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks

Discussion

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