CA-02 House Election Margin of Victory
The market resolves to the margin of victory for the CA-02 House election.
PolymarketEnds Nov 3, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democrat 30-35% | 40% | — | 77¢ | |
| Democrat 15-20% | 39% | — | 75¢ | |
| Democrat 20-25% | 39% | — | 75¢ | |
| Democrat 35-40% | 39% | — | 75¢ | |
| Republican Wins | 37% | — | 72¢ | |
| Democrat 25-30% | 37% | — | 71¢ | |
| Democrat 5-15% | 37% | — | 71¢ | |
| Democrat 45%+ | 35% | — | 68¢ | |
| Democrat 40-45% | 33% | — | 63¢ | |
| Democrat 0-5% | 31% | — | 60¢ |
Democrat 30-35%
40%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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