CA-03 House Election Margin of Victory
The market resolves based on the margin of victory for the winning party in the US House of Representatives election for California's 3rd district.
- california's 3rd congressional district
- democratic party
- republican party
- politics
- us politics
- us elections
PolymarketEnds Nov 3, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democrat 10-15% | 48% | — | 96¢ | |
| Democrat 5-10% | 48% | — | 95.9¢ | |
| Democrat 25-30% | 43% | — | 83.9¢ | |
| Democrat 30%+ | 37% | — | 72.6¢ | |
| Democrat 20-25% | 33% | — | 66¢ | |
| Republican Wins | 29% | — | 56.6¢ | |
| Democrat 15-20% | 28% | — | 55.6¢ | |
| Democrat 0-5% | 25% | — | 49.4¢ |
Democrat 10-15%
48%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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