CA-08 House Election Margin of Victory
The margin of victory for the winning party in the CA-08 US House election will be the outcome.
PolymarketEnds Nov 3, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democrat 25-30% | 43% | — | 83.9¢ | |
| Democrat 50-55% | 43% | — | 83.9¢ | |
| Democrat 30-35% | 42% | — | 83.9¢ | |
| Democrat 55%+ | 42% | — | 83.9¢ | |
| Democrat 15-25% | 41% | — | 81.7¢ | |
| Democrat 40-45% | 34% | — | 67.4¢ | |
| Republican Wins | 32% | — | 63.1¢ | |
| Democrat 0-15% | 31% | — | 61.7¢ | |
| Democrat 35-40% | 26% | — | 52¢ | |
| Democrat 45-50% | 22% | — | 42.9¢ |
Democrat 25-30%
43%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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