CA-16 House Election Margin of Victory
This market resolves to the margin of victory for the winning party in the California 16th congressional district House election.
PolymarketEnds Nov 3, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democrat 35-40% | 38% | — | 74¢ | |
| Democrat 40-45% | 38% | — | 73¢ | |
| Democrat 45-50% | 37% | — | 72¢ | |
| Democrat 60-65% | 35% | — | 66¢ | |
| Democrat 25-35% | 34% | — | 65¢ | |
| Democrat 55-60% | 33% | — | 63¢ | |
| Democrat 65%+ | 32% | — | 61¢ | |
| Republican Wins | 32% | — | 61¢ | |
| Democrat 0-25% | 31% | — | 59¢ | |
| Democrat 50-55% | 31% | — | 59¢ |
Democrat 35-40%
38%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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