CA-30 House Election Margin of Victory
This market resolves based on the Democratic party's margin of victory in the CA-30 US House election.
PolymarketEnds Nov 3, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democrat 0-20% | 42% | — | 82¢ | |
| Democrat 30-35% | 42% | — | 81¢ | |
| Democrat 35-40% | 42% | — | 81¢ | |
| Democrat 40-45% | 42% | — | 81¢ | |
| Democrat 45-50% | 41% | — | 79¢ | |
| Democrat 20-30% | 40% | — | 77¢ | |
| Democrat 50-55% | 39% | — | 75¢ | |
| Republican Wins | 38% | — | 74¢ | |
| Democrat 60%+ | 31% | — | 59¢ | |
| Democrat 55-60% | 29% | — | 56¢ |
Democrat 0-20%
42%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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