TN-04 House Election Margin of Victory
This market resolves based on the margin of victory for either the Democratic or Republican party in the TN-04 House election.
PolymarketEnds Nov 3, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democrat Wins | 49% | — | 97.1¢ | |
| Republican 25-30% | 48% | — | 95.8¢ | |
| Republican 20-25% | 48% | — | 95.5¢ | |
| Republican 30-35% | 48% | — | 94.8¢ | |
| Republican 10-15% | 47% | — | 94.2¢ | |
| Republican 15-20% | 45% | — | 89¢ | |
| Republican 5-10% | 45% | — | 88.9¢ | |
| Republican 35%+ | 34% | — | 67.5¢ | |
| Republican 0-5% | 28% | — | 54.4¢ |
Democrat Wins
49%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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