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CA-47 House Election Margin of Victory

The market resolves based on the margin of victory for the California 47th congressional district house election.

PolymarketPolymarketEnds Nov 3, 2026

Outcomes

Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted

OutcomeChance24hPolymarketPolymarket
Democrat 20-25%43%82¢
Democrat 15-20%42%80¢
Democrat 30%+42%80¢
Democrat 10-15%42%80¢
Democrat 5-10%36%70¢
Democrat 0-5%35%66¢
Republican Wins31%59¢
Democrat 25-30%29%55¢

Democrat 20-25%

43%

Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks

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