WA-04 House Election Margin of Victory
This market resolves based on the margin of victory for the winning party in the WA-04 House election.
- washington's 4th congressional district
- politics
- us politics
- us elections
- house elections
- washington elections
PolymarketEnds Nov 3, 2026Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democrat Wins | 38% | — | 73¢ | |
| Republican 25-30% | 37% | — | 69¢ | |
| Republican 5-10% | 34% | — | 66¢ | |
| Republican 10-15% | 32% | — | 62¢ | |
| Republican 20-25% | 32% | — | 61¢ | |
| Republican 0-5% | 31% | — | 60¢ | |
| Republican 30-35% | 31% | — | 60¢ | |
| Republican 35%+ | 31% | — | 59¢ | |
| Republican 15-20% | 31% | — | 59¢ |
Democrat Wins
38%
—Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks
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