Sweden Parliamentary Election: Vote Share Margin of Victory

The market resolves based on the Social Democrats' vote share margin of victory in the Swedish parliamentary election.

Polymarket$3.6K traded 24hEnds Sep 12, 2026

Outcomes

Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted

Outcome	Chance	24h	Polymarket
S 7-10%	>99%	—	—
Another Party Wins	1%	—	0.5¢
S 4-7%	<1%	—	0.3¢
S 10-13%	<1%	−4¢	0.1¢
S <4%	<1%	—	0.1¢
S 13%+	<1%	—	0.1¢

>99%

—

Yes price on Polymarket, last 2 weeks

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