Kalshi· Politics

Will Republican win the 2028 presidential election by 211 to 538 Electoral College votes?

Pays out if the result is 211 to 538.

Chance

Buy Yes

9¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

98¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 8 minutes ago. Ends May 6, 3:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

Can’t both happenWill Democratic win the 2028 presidential election by 11 to 30 Electoral College votes?14¢
Can’t both happenWill Democratic win the 2028 presidential election by 131 to 210 Electoral College votes?9¢
Can’t both happenWill Democratic win the 2028 presidential election by 1 to 10 Electoral College votes?10¢
Can’t both happenWill Democratic win the 2028 presidential election by 211 to 538 Electoral College votes?6¢
Can’t both happenWill Democratic win the 2028 presidential election by 31 to 60 Electoral College votes?12¢
Can’t both happenWill Democratic win the 2028 presidential election by 61 to 90 Electoral College votes?16¢
Can’t both happenWill Democratic win the 2028 presidential election by 91 to 130 Electoral College votes?18¢
Can’t both happenWill Republican win the 2028 presidential election by 11 to 30 Electoral College votes?5¢
Can’t both happenWill Republican win the 2028 presidential election by 131 to 210 Electoral College votes?4¢
Can’t both happenWill Republican win the 2028 presidential election by 1 to 10 Electoral College votes?8¢
Can’t both happenWill Republican win the 2028 presidential election by 31 to 60 Electoral College votes?11¢
Can’t both happenWill Republican win the 2028 presidential election by 61 to 90 Electoral College votes?10¢

How this market is decidedShow

If Republican wins the Electoral College vote in 2028 by a margin of between 211-538 votes above the second-place candidate, then the market resolves to Yes.

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