2028 Electoral College margin of victory?
This market resolves to the margin of victory in the Electoral College for the 2028 US Presidential Election.
KalshiEnds May 6, 2029Outcomes
Yes pays $1 if it happens · best price highlighted
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | Last 24h | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic by 91 to 130 | 16% | — | 18¢ | |
| Democratic by 61 to 90 | 14% | — | 16¢ | |
| Democratic by 31 to 60 | 12% | — | 12¢ | |
| Democratic by 11 to 30 | 10% | — | 14¢ | |
| Democratic by 1 to 10 | 7% | — | 11¢ | |
| Republican by 61 to 90 | 7% | — | 10¢ | |
| Democratic by 131 to 210 | 7% | — | 9¢ | |
| Republican by 31 to 60 | 7% | — | 11¢ | |
| Republican by 1 to 10 | 6% | — | 8¢ | |
| Republican by 91 to 130 | 6% | — | 9¢ | |
| Republican by 211 or more | 6% | — | 10¢ | |
| Republican by 11 to 30 | 5% | — | 5¢ | |
| Democratic by 211 or more | 4% | — | 6¢ | |
| Republican by 131 to 210 | 3% | — | 4¢ |
Democratic by 91 to 130
16%
—Yes price on Kalshi, last 2 weeks
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