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KalshiKalshi· Politics

Will there be more than 175 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Sep 14, 2026 to Sep 20, 2026?

Pays out if the result is above 175.

Chance

53%

Buy Yes

53¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

48¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 7 minutes ago. Ends Sep 22, 1:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 42 minutes agoBought no at 48¢$2
  • 44 minutes agoBought no at 48¢$24
  • 4 hours agoSold yes at 52¢$11
  • 4 hours agoSold yes at 52¢$7
  • 4 hours agoSold yes at 52¢$15
  • 5 hours agoBought no at 49¢$2
  • 5 hours agoBought no at 49¢$2
  • 5 hours agoBought no at 49¢$45
  • 5 hours agoBought no at 49¢$10
  • 5 hours agoBought no at 48¢$30
How this market is decidedShow

If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 175 from Sep 14, 2026 to Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Sep 14, 2026 to Sep 20, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.