Skip to content
Back to event

KalshiKalshi· Politics

Will there be more than 200 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Sep 14, 2026 to Sep 20, 2026?

Pays out if the result is above 200.

Chance

18%

Buy Yes

19¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

84¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 9 minutes ago. Ends Sep 22, 1:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Related markets

Latest trades

  • 2 hours agoBought no at 81¢$92
  • 2 hours agoBought no at 81¢$29
  • 3 hours agoBought no at 81¢$10
  • 3 hours agoBought no at 81¢$42
  • 3 hours agoBought no at 81¢$23
  • 4 hours agoBought no at 81¢$81
  • 4 hours agoBought no at 81¢$99
  • 4 hours agoBought no at 81¢$32
  • 22 hours agoSold yes at 18¢$2
  • 22 hours agoSold yes at 18¢$18
How this market is decidedShow

If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 200 from Sep 14, 2026 to Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Sep 14, 2026 to Sep 20, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.