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KalshiKalshi· Elections

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Chance

26%

Buy Yes

26¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

75¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 9 minutes ago. Ends Oct 4, 2:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Related markets

Latest trades

  • 8 hours agoSold yes at 26¢$9
  • 8 hours agoSold yes at 26¢$2
  • 13 hours agoSold yes at 26¢$4
  • 15 hours agoBought no at 74¢$733
  • 15 hours agoSold yes at 27¢$258
  • 15 hours agoSold yes at 27¢$13
  • 15 hours agoBought no at 74¢$7
  • 16 hours agoBought no at 74¢$237
  • 16 hours agoBought no at 74¢$93
  • 16 hours agoBought no at 74¢$22
How this market is decidedShow

If Flávio Bolsonaro wins the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.