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KalshiKalshi· Elections

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Chance

75%

Buy Yes

75¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

26¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 13 minutes ago. Ends Oct 4, 2:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Related markets

Latest trades

  • 1 hour agoSold yes at 75¢$159
  • 1 hour agoSold yes at 75¢$66
  • 1 hour agoSold yes at 75¢$123
  • 1 hour agoSold yes at 75¢$143
  • 3 hours agoSold yes at 75¢$96
  • 22 hours agoSold yes at 75¢$24
  • 22 hours agoSold yes at 74¢$371
  • 23 hours agoSold yes at 74¢$49
  • yesterdaySold yes at 73¢$0
  • yesterdaySold yes at 74¢$220
How this market is decidedShow

If Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva wins the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.