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Will Trump impose capital controls before 2029?

Chance

20%

Buy Yes

22¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

83¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Vol 24h

$6

as Kalshi reports it · 1 fills

Spread

round tripThin

Prices from Kalshi, updated 14 minutes ago. Ends Jan 20, 3:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 10 hours agoBought no at 83¢$5

Rules

If the United States has imposed new capital controls in an attempt to limit capital from leaving the United States and going to any country (as opposed to on one specific country) before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. Examples of capital controls for the purposes of this Contract include: direct restrictions on outbound transfers (e.g. a regulation requiring government approval or an outright ban on transactions outside of the country above some threshold), asset freeze orders (e.g. ordering banks not to issue cash en masse), setting a rule on the absolute cap of cash that can be physically carried out of the country (as opposed to merely mandating reporting of an amount), foreign exchange purchase limits, and new reporting requirements on capital transfers. Restrictions on capital from coming into the United States are not included in the Payout Criterion.

Rule history

  1. First recordedNo changes since.

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