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KalshiKalshi· Economics

Will U.S. imports of goods from China for 2026 be below $260 billion?

Pays out if the result is below 260.

Chance

47%

Buy Yes

51¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

57¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 4 minutes ago. Ends Feb 4, 1:29 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

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Latest trades

  • 2 hours agoBought no at 57¢$2
  • yesterdayBought no at 57¢$1
How this market is decidedShow

If U.S. imports of goods by customs basis from China (FRED series IMPCH) in calendar year 2026 are below $260 billion, then the market resolves to Yes.