Kalshi· Economics

Will U.S. imports of goods from China for 2026 be below $300 billion?

Pays out if the result is below 300.

Chance

92%

Buy Yes

95¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

12¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 11 minutes ago. Ends Feb 4, 1:29 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

If this happens, yours happens tooWill U.S. imports of goods from China for 2026 be below $220 billion?9¢
If this happens, yours happens tooWill U.S. imports of goods from China for 2026 be below $240 billion?11¢
If this happens, yours happens tooWill U.S. imports of goods from China for 2026 be below $260 billion?51¢
If this happens, yours happens tooWill U.S. imports of goods from China for 2026 be below $280 billion?80¢

How this market is decidedShow

If U.S. imports of goods by customs basis from China (FRED series IMPCH) in calendar year 2026 are below $300 billion, then the market resolves to Yes.

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