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KalshiKalshi· Economics

Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.8% for the year ending in November 2026?

Pays out if the result is above 3.8.

Chance

48%

Buy Yes

60¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

65¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 2 minutes ago. Ends Dec 10, 1:29 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Related markets

Latest trades

  • 1 hour agoSold yes at 39¢$5
  • 1 hour agoSold yes at 54¢$4
  • 1 hour agoSold yes at 39¢$14
  • 2 hours agoSold yes at 36¢$53
  • 2 hours agoSold yes at 36¢$48
  • 11 hours agoSold yes at 39¢$11
  • yesterdayBought no at 78¢$1
  • yesterdaySold yes at 13¢$0
  • yesterdaySold yes at 13¢$5
  • yesterdaySold yes at 13¢$14
How this market is decidedShow

If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 3.8% in the twelve months ending November 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes. In the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown