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Will the US fall below 7.60 during the Trump Administration on the Economist's Democracy Index between 2025 and 2028

Pays out if the result is below 7.6.

Chance

87%

Buy Yes

90.9¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

16¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Vol 24h

—

as Kalshi reports it

Spread

7¢

round tripThin

Prices from Kalshi, updated 19 seconds ago. Ends May 17, 3:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Rules

How this market is decided
Settled by The Economist. Contract terms (PDF)

If the United States falls below 7.60 in any year between 2025 and 2028 (inclusive) on the Economist's Democracy Index, then the market resolves to Yes.

Rule history

  1. First recordedNo changes since.

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